Is Global Warming An Urban Phenomenon?
By: Doug Busselman, Executive Vice President
For those who have read the posts I have offered in the past on “Global Warming” – there hasn’t been much about this idea that I have embraced as being legitimate. Since Congress isn’t in a pending mode, on being able to pass a Senate version of legislation to force our energy prices higher under the guise of saving the planet from melting (we’ll have to see what happens in the Lame-Duck get-together), there hasn’t been much discussion about Global Warming in the news. It was this absence that raised my curiosity when I read the news blurb which took me to this link of Dennis Avery’s post that Global Warming might be an urban condition.
The general thrust of the piece is that when they calculate temperatures, used to tell us that the planet is warming, they average rural and urban temperatures together. Avery reports that Ed Long, once of NASA, set out to run a check on the data, considering the idea that urban areas are more inclined to be warmer places because of the “Urban Heat Island effect”.
Pulling in data on a per state basis of using one rural measurement station and one urban station, Long did the temperature averaging separately.
To quote Mr. Avery’s post directly…
Sound like the foundation for making a case to crash our economy with a legislative solution from Washington, D.C.? – I think not!
For those who have read the posts I have offered in the past on “Global Warming” – there hasn’t been much about this idea that I have embraced as being legitimate. Since Congress isn’t in a pending mode, on being able to pass a Senate version of legislation to force our energy prices higher under the guise of saving the planet from melting (we’ll have to see what happens in the Lame-Duck get-together), there hasn’t been much discussion about Global Warming in the news. It was this absence that raised my curiosity when I read the news blurb which took me to this link of Dennis Avery’s post that Global Warming might be an urban condition.
The general thrust of the piece is that when they calculate temperatures, used to tell us that the planet is warming, they average rural and urban temperatures together. Avery reports that Ed Long, once of NASA, set out to run a check on the data, considering the idea that urban areas are more inclined to be warmer places because of the “Urban Heat Island effect”.
Pulling in data on a per state basis of using one rural measurement station and one urban station, Long did the temperature averaging separately.
To quote Mr. Avery’s post directly…
“The rural data set shows no warming since 1890! The temperatures have trended up and down, but there's no overall increase. The urban stations show a strong warming, especially after 1965. Are these two "skeleton sets" of raw data more representative of reality than the urban-polluted "adjusted" data sets in the official records? Long says "Yes"I’m not sure that I’m ready to sign-up for membership to the believers club of Global Warming, but information like this does make you question the underlying data used to make the case that there’s a reason to think temperatures are rising? From there the questions get even more complicated in trying to figure out why – if, you are willing to think that maybe some temperatures are higher…
* The raw data is that measured at the time, so, simply stated, those were the temperatures.
* The two sets had strikingly similar variations, with the rural set having more variability. The cities were warmer, but less susceptible to short-term changes in air temperatures due to their retained heat.
* The medium-term trends are similar up to about 1965, but the cities warmed much faster after that year. That's probably not global warming, but rather the in-filling of the cities: higher populations, more and taller office buildings, more streets and parking lots, more lost trees. The airports have poured more concrete, and become "development hot spots."
Both data sets show that public opinion has been heavily impacted by the continuing 30-year phases of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation. Temperatures rose strongly 1915–1940 during a Pacific warming, but World War II was scarier than any theory about man-made warming. When the PDO trended downward from 1940–1975, newsmagazines and "experts" predicted a new Ice Age. When the temperatures and the Pacific rose strongly again from 1976–98, the man-made warming scare was born and flourished. Now that earth has failed to warm for a decade, public fear of global warming has waned dramatically.
We have clearly been polluting the official temperature record with Urban Heat. Has none of the global warming scientists, cap and trade millionaires, and media folks noticed? Or have the billions and billions of dollars spent to "save the world from pending disaster" clouded their vision?”
Sound like the foundation for making a case to crash our economy with a legislative solution from Washington, D.C.? – I think not!

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